أثر مؤشرات العمق المالي على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق للمدة 2004-2021 دراسة قياسية
محتوى المقالة الرئيسي
الملخص
يهدف هذا البحث الى قياس حجم أثر مؤشرات العمق المالي على النمو الاقتصادي في العراق، من الجانب القياسي، اعتمد البحث على المنهج الوصفي لتغطية الجانب النظري من البحث و المنهج الكمي القياسي عن طريق تطبيق منهجية أنموذج الانحدار الذاتي للإبطاء الموزع (ARDL) وتم استخدام بيانات ربع سنوية للمدة 2004-2021 بهدف قياس وتحليل العلاقة بين مؤشرات العمق المالي معبرا عنه ب(عرض النقد الواسع الى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي و نسبة الائتمان المحلي المقدم للقطاع الخاص الى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي) بصفتها متغيرات مستقلة، والنمو الاقتصادي معبرا عنه ب(الناتج المحلي الاجمالي) بصفته متغير تابع باستخدام برنامج EViews 12. وأشارت نتائج البحث في المدى الطويل على ان مؤشر (M2\GDP) يؤثر سلبيا على الناتج المحلي الإجمالي، بينما كان التأثير ايجابي لمؤشر نسبة الائتمان المقدم للقطاع الخاص الى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي.
التنزيلات
تفاصيل المقالة
المراجع
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